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25 April 2024
 
  » arxiv » cond-mat/0106475

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Gaussian Process Regression with Mismatched Models
Peter Sollich ;
Date 22 Jun 2001
Subject Disordered Systems and Neural Networks; Statistical Mechanics | cond-mat.dis-nn cond-mat.stat-mech
AbstractLearning curves for Gaussian process regression are well understood when the `student’ model happens to match the `teacher’ (true data generation process). I derive approximations to the learning curves for the more generic case of mismatched models, and find very rich behaviour: For large input space dimensionality, where the results become exact, there are universal (student-independent) plateaux in the learning curve, with transitions in between that can exhibit arbitrarily many over-fitting maxima. In lower dimensions, plateaux also appear, and the asymptotic decay of the learning curve becomes strongly student-dependent. All predictions are confirmed by simulations.
Source arXiv, cond-mat/0106475
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