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28 March 2024
 
  » pubmed » pmid17791339

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Prospects for Larger or More Frequent Earthquakes in the Los Angeles Metropolitan Region
James F Dolan ; Kerry Sieh ; Thomas K Rockwell ; Robert S Yeats ; John Shaw ; John Suppe ; Gary J Huftile ; Eldon M Gath ;
Date 13 Jan 1995
Journal Science, 267 (5195), 199-205
AbstractFar too few moderate earthquakes have occurred within the Los Angeles, California, metropolitan region during the 200-year-long historic period to account for observed strain accumulation, indicating that the historic era represents either a lull between clusters of moderate earthquakes or part of a centuries-long interseismic period between much larger (moment magnitude, M(w), 7.2 to 7.6) events. Geologic slip rates and relations between moment magnitude, average coseismic slip, and rupture area show that either of these hypotheses is possible, but that the latter is the more plausible of the two. The average time between M(w) 7.2 to 7.6 earthquakes from a combination of six fault systems within the metropolitan area was estimated to be about 140 years.
Source PubMed, pmid17791339 doi: 10.1126/science.267.5195.199
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