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25 April 2024
 
  » arxiv » 1503.4022

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The integrated periodogram of a dependent extremal event sequence
Thomas Mikosch ; Yuwei Zhao ;
Date 13 Mar 2015
AbstractWe investigate the asymptotic properties of the integrated periodogram calculated from a sequence of indicator functions of dependent extremal events. An event in Euclidean space is extreme if it occurs far away from the origin. We use a regular variation condition on the underlying stationary sequence to make these notions precise. Our main result is a functional central limit theorem for the integrated periodogram of the indicator functions of dependent extremal events. The limiting process is a continuous Gaussian process whose covari- ance structure is in general unfamiliar, but in the iid case a Brownian bridge appears. In the general case, we propose a stationary bootstrap procedure for approximating the distribution of the limiting process. The developed theory can be used to construct classical goodness-of-fit tests such as the Grenander- Rosenblatt and Cram’{e}r-von Mises tests which are based only on the extremes in the sample. We apply the test statistics to simulated and real-life data.
Source arXiv, 1503.4022
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