|
| | | | |
| | | |
| Stat |
Members: 3645
Articles: 2'504'585
Articles rated: 2609
24 April 2024 |
|
| | | | |
|
Article overview
| |
|
|
Braving the Tempest: Methodological foundations of policy-making in sustainability transitions | | J.-F. Mercure
; H. Pollitt
; A. M. Bassi
; J. E Viñuales
; N. R. Edwards
; | | Date: |
24 Jun 2015 | | Abstract: | Policy-makers currently face unprecedented challenges and uncertainty when
taking decisions that simultaneously affect economic development, technology
and the environment. It is not clear to policy-makers how to reconcile economic
policy supporting growth with climate change mitigation, and it is not clear
how effective policies are likely to be.
This paper argues that informing policy-making using conventional equilibrium
or optimisation modelling of technology and economics is not fine-grained
enough to capture the complexities of real-world human behaviour and its
diversity, leaving a wide uncertainty gap for policy-making. We suggest that
the use of a dynamical methodology involving complexity science coupled to
behavioural science with sophisticated uncertainty analysis can provide
appropriate tools to better understand policy issues in sectors that involve a
high degree of interaction (collective effects) or differentiation (agent
heterogeneity/diversity) between agents.
We argue that a better representation in models of these complex feedbacks
between three critical interrelated areas could enable a paradigm shift for our
understanding of how these aspects work together: technological change, the
macroeconomy, and the natural environment. We identify four areas of
environmental policy where the high degree of agent interactions and/or
behavioural diversity makes their analysis impractical/inconsistent. These are
(1) the effectiveness of policy for emissions reductions in consumer based
sectors (2) the analysis of green growth, (3) cascading uncertainty across
models and (4) cross-sectoral impacts of sector specific policies (e.g.
biofuels). We suggest how a wider adoption of this approach could lead to a
step change in our ability to address the complex policy problems raised by
sustainability transitions. | | Source: | arXiv, 1506.7432 | | Services: | Forum | Review | PDF | Favorites | |
|
|
No review found.
Did you like this article?
Note: answers to reviews or questions about the article must be posted in the forum section.
Authors are not allowed to review their own article. They can use the forum section.
browser Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)
|
| |
|
|
|
|
News, job offers and information for researchers and scientists:
| |
REGISTER