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Decision Support System for Urbanization of the Northern Part of the Volga-Akhtuba Floodplain (Russia) on the Basis of Interdisciplinary Computer Modeling | | Alexander Voronin
; Inessa Isaeva
; Alexander Khoperskov
; Sergey Grebenjuk
; | | Date: |
9 Sep 2017 | | Abstract: | There is a computer decision support system (CDSS) for urbanization of the
northern part of the Volga-Akhtuba floodplain. This system includes subsystems
of cognitive and game-theoretic analysis, geoinformation and hydrodynamic
simulations. The paper presents the cognitive graph, two-level and three-level
models of hierarchical games for the cases of uncontrolled and controlled
development of the problem situation. We described the quantitative analysis of
the effects of different strategies for the spatial distribution of the
urbanized territories. For this reason we conducted the territory zoning
according to the level of negative consequences of urbanization for various
agents. In addition, we found an analytical solution for games with the linear
dependence of the average flooded area on the urbanized area. We numerically
computed a game equilibrium for dependences derived from the imitational
geoinformation and hydrodynamic modeling of flooding. As the result, we showed
that the transition to the three-level management system and the implementation
of an optimal urbanization strategy minimize its negative consequences. | | Source: | arXiv, 1710.4120 | | Services: | Forum | Review | PDF | Favorites | |
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