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Transmission of Information and Herd Behavior: an Application to Financial Markets | Victor M. Eguiluz
; Martin G. Zimmermann
; | Rating: | Members: 3.41/5 (1 reader) | Visitors: 4/5 (1 visitor) | Date: |
4 Aug 1999 | Journal: | Phys. Rev. Lett. 85, 5659-5662 (2000) | Subject: | Condensed Matter; Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems | cond-mat nlin.AO | Affiliation: | IMEDEA, Palma de Mallorca, Spain | Abstract: | We propose a model for stochastic formation of opinion clusters, modelled by an evolving network, and herd behaviour to account for the observed fat-tail distribution in returns of financial-price data. The only parameter of the model is h, the rate of information dispersion per trade, which is a measure of herding behavior. For h below a critical h* the system displays a power-law distribution of the returns with exponential cut-off. However for h>h* an increase in the probability of large returns is found, and may be associated to the occurrence of large crashes. | Source: | arXiv, cond-mat/9908069 | Other source: | [GID 103127] pmid11136071 | Services: | Forum | Review | PDF | Favorites |
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