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26 April 2024
 
  » arxiv » 1504.5953

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A Free-Form Prediction for the Reappearance of Supernova Refsdal in the Hubble Frontier Fields Cluster MACSJ1149.5+2223
Jose M. Diego ; Tom Broadhurst ; Cuncheng Chen ; Jeremy Lim ; Adi Zitrin ; Brian Chan ; Dan Coe ; Holland C. Ford ; Daniel Lam ; Wei Zheng ;
Date 22 Apr 2015
AbstractThe massive cluster MACSJ1149.5+2223 (z=0.544) displays five very large lensed images of a well resolved spiral galaxy at z_spect=1.491. It is within one of these images that the first example of a multiply-lensed supernova has been detected recently in deep Hubble Frontier Field imaging. The depth of this data also reveals many HII regions within the lensed spiral galaxy which we identify between the five counter-images. Here we expand the capability of our free-form method to incorporate these HII regions locally, with other reliable lensed galaxies added for a global solution. This improved accuracy allows us to estimate when the Refsdal supernova will appear within the other lensed images of the spiral galaxy to an accuracy of about 7%. We predict the reappearance of this supernova in one of the counter-images (RA=11:49:36.025, DEC=+22:23:48.11, J2000) on November first 2015 (plus minus 25 days), offering a unique opportunity to study the early phases of this supernova and to examine the consistency of the mass model and the cosmological model that have an impact on the time delay prediction.
Source arXiv, 1504.5953
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