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Article overview
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Are Financial Crashes Predictable? | | Laurent Laloux
; Marc Potters
; Rama Cont
; Jean-Pierre Aguilar
; Jean-Philippe Bouchaud
; | | Date: |
9 Apr 1998 | | Subject: | Statistical Mechanics | cond-mat.stat-mech | | Affiliation: | 1,2), Jean-Pierre Aguilar (1,3) and Jean-Philippe Bouchaud (1,4) ( Science & Finance Polytechnique Lausanne Capital Futures Management CEA Saclay | | Abstract: | We critically review recent claims that financial crashes can be predicted using the idea of log-periodic oscillations or by other methods inspired by the physics of critical phenomena. In particular, the October 1997 `correction’ does not appear to be the accumulation point of a geometric series of local minima. | | Source: | arXiv, cond-mat/9804111 | | Services: | Forum | Review | PDF | Favorites | |
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